← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Mon, Oct 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Cihan Aydin, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 50% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.47 |
| Rizespor win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Rizespor −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over | 50% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Carlo Holse · Samsunspor |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jesurun Rak-Sakyi · Rizespor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Attila Mocsi · Rizespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Muhamed Buljubašić · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 26 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu |
| coach days | 87.00 | 87.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1600.52 | 1487.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.01 | 3.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 0.21 |
| solidity v1 | 0.96 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.75 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 0.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.25 |