← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Mon, Oct 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Atilla Karaoglan, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Gaziantep win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0.75 | 52% | 1.84 |
| Gaziantep +0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
| 6' | 🟨 | Archie Brown · Fenerbahce |
| 21' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
| 25' | 🟨 | Edson Álvarez · Fenerbahce |
| 43' | 🟨 | Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahce |
| 47' | 🟨 | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| 72' | 🟨 | Deian Sorescu · Gaziantep |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jayden Oosterwolde · Fenerbahce |
| 81' | ⚽ | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| 86' | 🟥 | Myenty Abena · Gaziantep |
| 87' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 13 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kalyon Stadyumu |
| 88' | ⚽ | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 56.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1534.20 | 1798.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.67 | 13.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | 1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.85 |
| league points | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 4.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | 0.81 |
| solidity v1 | 0.68 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 31.06 | 29.23 |
| state index | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 1.80 |