← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Yilmaz, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 35% | 2.86 |
| Goztep win | 34% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Goztep +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Furkan Bayır · Goztep |
| 29' | 🟨 | Ianis Hagi · Alanyaspor |
| 30' | 🟨 | Malcom Bokele · Goztep |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Taşkıran · Alanyaspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Janderson · Goztep |
| 82' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Goztep |
| 83' | ⚽ | Ümit Akdağ · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fidan Aliti · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Salem Bouajila · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | GAİN Park Stadyumu |
| coach days | 79.00 | 718.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1541.09 | 1591.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.83 | 29.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.59 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.81 |
| league points | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 36.20 |
| rest days | 15.10 | 13.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 2.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -1.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.76 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -2.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.88 | 0.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.45 |