← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Rizespor win | 31% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor |
| 19' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 27' | ⚽ | Jesurun Rak-Sakyi · Rizespor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Qazim Laci · Rizespor |
| 47' | 🟨 | Emrecan Bulut · Rizespor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Václav Jurečka · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu |
| coach days | 78.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1495.83 | 1642.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.87 | 3.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | 1.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 14.88 | 14.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 2.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.27 |
| solidity v1 | -0.12 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 9.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.14 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.50 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.60 |