← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Kadir Saglam, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor win | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Kocaelispor win | 21% | 4.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor −0.5 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Kocaelispor −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Uğurcan Yazğılı · Konyaspor |
| 21' | 🟨 | Guilherme Haubert Sityá · Konyaspor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Kocaelispor |
| 44' | ⚽ | Tayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jackson Muleka · Konyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ahmet Oğuz · Kocaelispor |
| 48' | 🟨 | Botond Balogh · Kocaelispor |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Pedrinho · Konyaspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Adil Demirbağ · Konyaspor |
| 63' | ⚽ | Habib Keita · Kocaelispor |
| 71' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Konyaspor | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium |
| 77' | ⚽ | Umut Nayir · Konyaspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Jovanović · Kocaelispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Muharrem Cinan · Kocaelispor |
| coach days | 78.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1551.25 | 1469.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.33 | -12.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 41.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -0.32 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.13 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | — |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 0.82 |