← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Oct 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.18 |
| Samsunspor win | 20% | 5.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0.75 | 51% | 2.00 |
| Samsunspor +0.75 | 49% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahce |
| 85' | 🟨 | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nélson Semedo · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu |
| coach days | 65.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1598.35 | 1828.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.30 | -14.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 1.34 |
| solidity v1 | 0.45 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 28.00 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 0.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.66 |