← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adnan Deniz Kayatepe, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor win | 43% | 2.38 |
| Eyupspor win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Kocaelispor −0.25 | 50% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Prince Ampem · Eyupspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Nihad Mujakić · Eyupspor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Show · Kocaelispor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mateusz Łęgowski · Eyupspor |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Bruno Petković · Kocaelispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ahmet Oğuz · Kocaelispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kocaelispor | Eyupspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu |
| coach days | 64.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1461.19 | 1452.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.67 | -9.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 40.43 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.80 |
| league points | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.29 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.24 |
| solidity v1 | -0.10 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| state index | -1.01 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.43 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |