← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 3, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Ozan Ergun, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 37% | 2.57 |
| Antalyaspor win | 35% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor +0 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Antalyaspor +0 | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.75 |
| Over | 44% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Jesurun Rak-Sakyi · Rizespor |
| 9' | ⚽ | Václav Jurečka · Rizespor |
| 13' | ⚽ | Soner Dikmen · Antalyaspor |
| 21' | 🟨 | Samet Akaydın · Rizespor |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jesurun Rak-Sakyi · Rizespor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sander van de Streek · Antalyaspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sander van de Streek · Antalyaspor |
| 58' | 🟥 | Sander van de Streek · Antalyaspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Václav Jurečka · Rizespor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Taha Şahin · Rizespor |
| 86' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Corendon Airlines Park |
| 89' | ⚽ | Tomáš Čvančara · Antalyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Altin Zeqiri · Rizespor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Valentin Mihăilă · Rizespor |
| coach days | 63.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1491.52 | 1474.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.76 | -20.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.09 |
| solidity v1 | -0.75 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.69 | 1.10 |