← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Mon, Sep 29, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Sansalan, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 69% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.34 |
| Kocaelispor win | 13% | 7.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor −1.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Besiktas −1.5 | 47% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.61 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Gökhan Değirmenci · Kocaelispor |
| 4' | ⚽ | Rafa Silva · Besiktas |
| 10' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Jovanović · Kocaelispor |
| 10' | ⚽ | Václav Černý · Besiktas |
| 50' | ⚽ | Tayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Gökhan Sazdağı · Besiktas |
| 64' | 🟨 | Rigoberto Rivas · Kocaelispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Kocaelispor |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Oleksandr Syrota · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Tupras Stadium |
| coach days |
| 271.00 |
| 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1599.77 | 1468.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.52 | -25.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 39.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 8.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | -0.74 |
| solidity v1 | 0.12 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.89 | — |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | — |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.72 |