← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 28, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Yigit Arslan, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 28% | 3.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Genclerbirligi −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Thalisson Kelven · Genclerbirligi |
| 22' | 🟨 | Abdulsamet Burak · Kayserispor |
| 26' | ⚽ | Oğulcan Ülgün · Genclerbirligi |
| 50' | 🟥 | Sekou Koita · Genclerbirligi |
| 70' | 🟥 | Franco Tongya · Genclerbirligi |
| 71' | 🟨 | Bilal Bayazit · Kayserispor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Dimitris Goutas · Genclerbirligi |
| 75' | 🟨 | Stefano Denswil · Kayserispor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lionel Carole · Kayserispor |
| 83' | 🟨 | M'Baye Niang · Genclerbirligi |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 2 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| ⚽ |
| Indrit Tuci · Kayserispor |
| coach days | 58.00 | 301.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1508.08 | 1382.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.55 | -12.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 8.13 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.71 |
| solidity v1 | -1.32 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | -1.15 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.65 | 1.04 |