← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 28, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Yilmaz, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 77% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.79 |
| Antalyaspor win | 8% | 12.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Antalyaspor −1.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Soner Dikmen · Antalyaspor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ramzi Safuri · Antalyaspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jayden Oosterwolde · Fenerbahce |
| 55' | 🟨 | Samuel Ballet · Antalyaspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Kenneth Paal · Antalyaspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Bünyamin Balcı · Antalyaspor |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marco Asensio · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Éderson · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 4 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.60 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.57 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 89.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1784.86 | 1495.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.24 | 5.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.61 |
| league points | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.40 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.46 | -0.31 |
| solidity v1 | 1.05 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.80 | — |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.24 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 0.77 |