← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehmet Turkmen, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Karagumruk win | 28% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Karagumruk +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor |
| 28' | ⚽ | Tiago Çukur · Karagumruk |
| 35' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Atakan Çankaya · Karagumruk |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Stefan Savić · Trabzonspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Daniel Johnson · Karagumruk |
| 88' | ⚽ | Danylo Sikan · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Muhammed Kadioglu · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 13 | Shots | 22 |
| 3 | On target | 11 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| 90' | ⚽ | David Datro Fofana · Karagumruk |
| coach days | 26.00 | 210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1453.71 | 1625.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.56 | 11.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| league points | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.27 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 28.37 |
| state index | -1.18 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.85 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 1.07 |