← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Batuhan Kolak, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Samsunspor win | 34% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Samsunspor +0 | 47% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 2.00 |
| Over | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Rick Van Drongelen · Samsunspor |
| 8' | 🟨 | Deian Sorescu · Gaziantep |
| 19' | ⚽ | Cherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor |
| 32' | 🟨 | Kévin Rodrigues · Gaziantep |
| 37' | 🟨 | Cherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Melih Kabasakal · Gaziantep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Okan Koçuk · Samsunspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tanguy Coulibaly · Samsunspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor |
| 45' | 🟥 | Cherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor |
| 45' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 30 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 7 |
| 4 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Kalyon Stadyumu |
| 65' | 🟨 | Zeki Yavru · Samsunspor |
| 75' | ⚽ | Myenty Abena · Gaziantep |
| 78' | 🟨 | Yunus Emre Çift · Samsunspor |
| coach days | 26.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1541.33 | 1584.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.10 | -9.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 6.88 | 5.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| solidity v1 | -0.10 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 30.45 | 27.49 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 0.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.13 |