← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Wed, Sep 24, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Adnan Deniz Kayatepe, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 58% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Kayserispor win | 19% | 5.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +1 | 55% | 1.90 |
| Besiktas +1 | 45% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Rafa Silva · Besiktas |
| 24' | 🟨 | Nurettin Korkmaz · Kayserispor |
| 32' | ⚽ | Rafa Silva · Besiktas |
| 45' | ⚽ | Tammy Abraham · Besiktas |
| 49' | 🟨 | Dorukhan Toköz · Kayserispor |
| 58' | ⚽ | Rafa Silva · Besiktas |
| 59' | 🟨 | Lionel Carole · Kayserispor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Tammy Abraham · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ramazan Civelek · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Necip Uysal · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| coach days |
| 54.00 |
| 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1527.18 | 1580.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.81 | -31.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 1.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.73 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 29.25 |
| state index | -0.82 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 1.95 |