← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Umit Ozturk, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Kocaelispor win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Kocaelispor +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Modibo Sagnan · Rizespor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Show · Kocaelispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yahia Fofana · Rizespor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Qazim Laci · Rizespor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Olawoyin · Rizespor |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Bruno Petković · Kocaelispor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Muharrem Cinan · Kocaelispor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Casper Højer · Rizespor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Kocaelispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kocaelispor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu |
| coach days | 51.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1469.70 | 1494.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.30 | -17.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 34.00 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 2.02 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 5.88 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | 0.71 |
| solidity v1 | 0.29 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.82 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.67 | 2.06 |