← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Arda Kardesler, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
| Gaziantep win | 20% | 4.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Trabzonspor −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.82 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Badou Ndiaye · Gaziantep |
| 39' | ⚽ | Kévin Rodrigues · Gaziantep |
| 50' | 🟨 | Mustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Tayyip Talha Sanuç · Gaziantep |
| 70' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Wagner Pina · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enver Kulašin · Gaziantep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Drissa Camara · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| coach days | 203.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1630.75 | 1508.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.93 | 32.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 6.04 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.13 |
| solidity v1 | 0.59 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.37 | 31.06 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 1.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.26 |