← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Omer Tolga Guldibi, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Eyupspor win | 32% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Genclerbirligi −0.25 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Matěj Hanousek · Genclerbirligi |
| 36' | ⚽ | Franco Tongya · Genclerbirligi |
| 40' | 🟨 | Oğulcan Ülgün · Genclerbirligi |
| 62' | 🟨 | Denis Drăguş · Eyupspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pedro Pereira · Genclerbirligi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mame Thiam · Eyupspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Eyupspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadium |
| coach days | 293.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1371.93 | 1461.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.17 | 9.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.79 |
| league points | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| state index | -1.02 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 0.97 |