← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Fri, Sep 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehmet Turkmen, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Besiktas win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Goztep −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Juan Santos da Silva · Goztep |
| 16' | 🟨 | Arda Kurtulan · Goztep |
| 19' | ⚽ | Rhaldney · Goztep |
| 35' | 🟨 | Junior Olaitan · Goztep |
| 80' | 🟨 | Demir Ege Tıknaz · Besiktas |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sabra · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 688.00 |
| 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1561.96 | 1596.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.42 | -15.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| league points | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 5.13 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | 1.24 |
| solidity v1 | 1.19 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.49 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.86 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 0.88 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 2.07 |