← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Wed, Sep 17, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Cihan Aydin, Türkiye
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 76% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.34 |
| Alanyaspor win | 8% | 11.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −1.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Fenerbahce −1.75 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Uchenna Ogundu · Alanyaspor |
| 72' | ⚽ | Nélson Semedo · Fenerbahce |
| 76' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ümit Akdağ · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yusuf Özdemir · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu |
| coach days | 78.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1822.05 | 1541.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.74 | 25.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 66.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.59 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | 1.92 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.32 | — |
| state index | 1.39 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.48 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.07 | 1.29 |