← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 14, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Y. Arslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Kocaelispor win | 28% | 3.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Kocaelispor −0.25 | 50% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Melih Kabasakal · Gaziantep |
| 23' | 🟨 | Karol Linetty · Kocaelispor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Ogün Özçiçek · Gaziantep |
| 43' | 🟨 | Botond Balogh · Kocaelispor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Tayyip Talha Sanuç · Gaziantep |
| 67' | 🟨 | Hrvoje Smolčić · Kocaelispor |
| 75' | ⚽ | Kacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep |
| 79' | ⚽ | Yusuf Kabadayi · Gaziantep |
| 82' | 🟨 | Yusuf Kabadayi · Gaziantep |
| 84' | 🟨 | Myenty Abena · Gaziantep |
| 90' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | — |
| venue | Kalyon Stadyumu |
| coach days | 13.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | — |
| elo | 1496.52 | 1481.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.25 | — |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 31.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | — |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | — |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | — |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 74.25 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 42.25 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.94 |
| solidity v1 | -1.13 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.75 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 31.06 | — |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | — |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 0.78 |