← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Sep 14, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Ergun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 67% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| Trabzonspor win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Fenerbahce −1.25 | 50% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 20' | 🟥 | Okay Yokuşlu · Trabzonspor |
| 31' | 🟨 | Stefan Savić · Trabzonspor |
| 41' | 🟨 | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
| 67' | 🟨 | Bartuğ Elmaz · Fenerbahce |
| 81' | 🟨 | Archie Brown · Fenerbahce |
| 81' | 🟨 | Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 29 | Shots | 1 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu |
| coach days | 75.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1818.10 | 1634.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.57 | 25.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.79 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 2.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.29 | 0.59 |
| solidity v1 | 0.90 | 1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.02 | 28.37 |
| state index | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.65 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.18 |