← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kardesler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
| Antalyaspor win | 16% | 5.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −0.75 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Antalyaspor −0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Soner Dikmen · Antalyaspor |
| 46' | ⚽ | Georgiy Dzhikiya · Antalyaspor |
| 51' | ⚽ | Carlo Holse · Samsunspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jesper Ceesay · Antalyaspor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Julián Cuesta · Antalyaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Tanguy Coulibaly · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josafat Mendes · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.58 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu |
| coach days | 43.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1570.67 | 1481.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.42 | 3.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 12.81 | 13.81 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.32 |
| solidity v1 | 1.04 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 0.88 |