← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 31, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. D. Kayatepe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Samsunspor win | 20% | 4.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Trabzonspor −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 24' | 🟨 | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Zeki Yavru · Samsunspor |
| 88' | ⚽ | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rick Van Drongelen · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| coach days | 183.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1664.72 | 1594.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.28 | 9.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 3.06 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.80 |
| solidity v1 | 1.72 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 28.74 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.45 |