← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 31, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Altay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.97 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 14% | 7.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +1 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Genclerbirligi +1 | 44% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.75 |
| Under | 44% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (og) | Pedro Pereira · Fenerbahce |
| 35' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
| 40' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
| 60' | 🟨 | Žan Žužek · Genclerbirligi |
| 64' | ⚽ | Dimitris Goutas · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadium |
| coach days | 273.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.66 |
| elo | 1380.47 | 1814.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.54 | -26.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.79 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 7.90 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | 1.22 |
| solidity v1 | -0.47 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 28.14 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.64 | 2.36 |