← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Aydin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 53% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Karagumruk win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.75 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Antalyaspor −0.75 | 46% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.80 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Güray Vural · Antalyaspor |
| 42' | ⚽ | Anıl Yiğit Çınar · Karagumruk |
| 51' | 🟨 | Baris Kalayci · Karagumruk |
| 56' | 🟨 | Tarik Bugra Kalpakli · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Johnson · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Corendon Airlines Park |
| coach days | 29.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1517.66 | 1513.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.52 | -23.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.63 |
| solidity v1 | 0.33 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.49 | 27.04 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.81 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 0.85 |