← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Y. Kol
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor win | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Kayserispor win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.5 | 53% | 1.79 |
| Kocaelispor −0.5 | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Can Keleş · Kocaelispor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Gökhan Sazdağı · Kayserispor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Karol Linetty · Kocaelispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oğulcan Çağlayan · Kocaelispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Kayserispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Bruno Petković · Kocaelispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kocaelispor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 1.20 |
| venue | Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu |
| coach days | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.28 |
| elo | 1481.95 | 1526.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | -19.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 38.00 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.67 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 5.90 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -13.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.98 |
| solidity v1 | 0.27 | -2.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.33 | 7.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.67 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.47 | -1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 2.59 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.72 |