← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 24, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Yilmaz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 63% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.39 |
| Antalyaspor win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor −1 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Antalyaspor −1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Arseniy Batagov · Trabzonspor |
| 35' | 🟨 | Sander van de Streek · Antalyaspor |
| 38' | ⚽ | Stefan Savić · Trabzonspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mert Yilmaz · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| coach days | 176.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1633.40 | 1498.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.82 | 8.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | -0.27 |
| solidity v1 | 1.55 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.37 | — |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.15 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.25 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |