← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Fri, Aug 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Kolak
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 49% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Karagumruk win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0.5 | 51% | 2.03 |
| Goztep +0.5 | 49% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Fatih Kurucuk · Karagumruk |
| 31' | 🟨 | Anthony Junior Dennis · Goztep |
| 40' | ⚽ | Junior Olaitan · Goztep |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Karagumruk |
| 65' | ⚽ | Janderson · Goztep |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Sabra · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 143.00 | 660.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1529.14 | 1574.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.49 | 44.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.60 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | -0.62 |
| solidity v1 | -1.23 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 26.04 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -1.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.47 |