← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 17, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Aksu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Antalyaspor win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Antalyaspor +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Kenneth Paal · Antalyaspor |
| 81' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Antalyaspor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Georgiy Dzhikiya · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadium |
| coach days | 259.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1411.40 | 1513.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.95 | -1.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.90 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.32 |
| solidity v1 | — | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.72 | 29.34 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 0.78 |