← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 16, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoglan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 39% | 2.57 |
| Rizespor win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +0 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Rizespor +0 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Güven Yalçın · Alanyaspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Husniddin Alikulov · Rizespor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ali Sowe · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | GAİN Park Stadyumu |
| coach days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1546.57 | 1516.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.08 | 15.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.00 | 48.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 2.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 6.10 |
| season ppg | — | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.63 |
| solidity v1 | 1.17 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 27.31 |
| state index | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 2.04 |