β SΓΌper Lig 2025-26 Β· Sat, Aug 16, 04:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Z. Kucuk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor win | 37% | 2.57 |
| Samsunspor win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.39 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Samsunspor +0 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | π¨ | Celil YΓΌksel Β· Samsunspor |
| 44' | π₯ | Samet YalΓ§Δ±n Β· Kocaelispor |
| 63' | π¨ | Show Β· Kocaelispor |
| 81' | π¨ | Joseph Nonge Boende Β· Kocaelispor |
| 82' | β½ (og) | Aleksandar JovanoviΔ Β· Samsunspor |
| 85' | π¨ | Antoine Makoumbou Β· Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kocaelispor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | β | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | β | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | β | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | YΔ±ldΔ±z Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu |
| coach days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | β | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | β | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | β | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | β | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 3.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | β | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | β | 0.59 |
| elo | 1405.42 | 1596.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.11 | 34.66 |
| eye test v1 | β | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | β | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | β | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | β | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | β | 51.60 |
| rest days | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | β | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | β | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | β | 0.36 |
| solidity v1 | β | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | β | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | β | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | β | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | β | 5.60 |
| squad age | 30.29 | 28.39 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | β | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | β | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | β | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | β | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | β | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | β | 1.50 |