← Süper Lig 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 10, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Turkmen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 44% | 2.28 |
| Goztep win | 29% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −0.5 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Rizespor −0.5 | 45% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Malcom Bokele · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giannis Papanikolaou · Rizespor |
| 52' | ⚽ | Malcom Bokele · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Husniddin Alikulov · Rizespor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Emersonn · Goztep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Anthony Junior Dennis · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.63 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu |
| coach days | 9.00 | 648.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1536.45 | 1548.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.09 | 1.34 |
| eye test v1 | 1.80 | 0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.80 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.70 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | -0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.17 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.86 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -1.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.28 | 1.89 |