← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, May 11, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Taşkınsoy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 76% | 1.23 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.50 |
| Hatayspor win | 11% | 10.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −2 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Goztep −2 | 47% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Kubilay Kanatsızkuş · Goztep |
| 27' | ⚽ | Bilal Boutobba · Hatayspor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Francisco Calvo · Hatayspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 79' | 🟥 | Carlos Strandberg · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Héliton · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Koray Günter · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 557.00 |
| 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1530.96 | 1325.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.30 | -33.49 |
| eye test v1 | 1.41 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.67 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 40.00 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| league points | 58.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 0.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.04 |
| solidity v1 | 0.67 | -2.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.79 | -1.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.43 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 2.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.90 | 1.11 |