← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, May 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Bodrumspor win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bodrumspor −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Ahmet Aslan · Bodrumspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jonathan Okita · Bodrumspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Tolga Ciğerci · Sivasspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Taulant Seferi · Bodrumspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Uroš Radaković · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fredy · Bodrumspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Bodrumspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 71.00 |
| 222.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1474.66 | 1494.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.89 | -10.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.89 |
| league points | 41.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 14.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | -1.02 |
| solidity v1 | -1.85 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.09 | 1.77 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.80 |