← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 6, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Türkmen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 64% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.78 |
| Trabzonspor win | 16% | 6.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor −1.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Fenerbahce −1.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Alexander Djiku · Fenerbahce |
| 13' | 🟨 | Pedro Malheiro · Trabzonspor |
| 18' | 🟨 | Sofyan Amrabat · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Trabzonspor |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| 60' | 🟨 | John Lundstram · Trabzonspor |
| 60' | ⚽ | Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahce |
| 64' | ⚽ | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| 77' | ⚽ | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | 🟨 | Stefan Savić · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days |
| 309.00 |
| 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.95 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1832.27 | 1605.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.77 | 5.36 |
| eye test v1 | 1.42 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| league points | 81.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 8.94 | 8.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 2.38 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.41 | 0.80 |
| solidity v1 | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.67 | 28.88 |
| state index | 1.28 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.22 | 1.45 |