← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Samsunspor win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Samsunspor +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Soner Dikmen · Antalyaspor |
| 49' | 🟨 | Braian Samudio · Antalyaspor |
| 52' | ⚽ | Zeki Yavru · Samsunspor |
| 84' | ⚽ | Adolfo Gaich · Antalyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Moussa Djenepo · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Corendon Airlines Park |
| coach days |
| 94.00 |
| 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1494.70 | 1556.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.04 | -24.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| league points | 45.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -0.07 |
| solidity v1 | -1.09 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.85 | 1.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.09 |