← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 28, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 66% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.76 |
| Bodrumspor win | 13% | 8.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bodrumspor +1.25 | 52% | 1.96 |
| Fenerbahce +1.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Musah Mohammed · Bodrumspor |
| 5' | ⚽ | Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahce |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | George Pușcaș · Bodrumspor |
| 32' | ⚽ | Oğuz Aydın · Fenerbahce |
| 36' | ⚽ | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Anderson Talisca · Fenerbahce |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jonathan Okita · Bodrumspor |
| 85' | ⚽ | Fredy · Bodrumspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Allan Saint-Maximin · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 10 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bodrumspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| venue | Grey Beton Bodrum Stadyumu |
| coach days | 178.00 | 300.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1510.76 | 1826.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.91 | -7.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| league points | 41.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 12.29 | 12.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 2.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.68 |
| solidity v1 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 30.48 |
| state index | 0.54 | 1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.86 |