← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Kolak
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.64 |
| Hatayspor win | 15% | 6.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −1.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Kayserispor −1.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Ali Karimi · Kayserispor |
| 37' | ⚽ | Stéphane Bahoken · Kayserispor |
| 59' | ⚽ | Ramazan Civelek · Kayserispor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Lionel Carole · Kayserispor |
| 69' | ⚽ | Duckens Nazon · Kayserispor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Abdulkadir Parmak · Hatayspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Rui Pedro · Hatayspor |
| 89' | ⚽ | Talha Sariarslan · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 11 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 86.00 |
| 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1481.66 | 1377.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.26 | 32.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 35.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 13.10 | 12.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.56 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 0.92 |