← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Pakkan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Alanyaspor win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Antalyaspor −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Sergio Córdova · Alanyaspor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Yusuf Özdemir · Alanyaspor |
| 43' | ⚽ | Braian Samudio · Antalyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 81' | ⚽ | Adolfo Gaich · Antalyaspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Moussa Djenepo · Antalyaspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Adolfo Gaich · Antalyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdurrahim Dursun · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Corendon Airlines Park |
| coach days | 86.00 | 27.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1485.87 | 1504.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.76 | -42.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 42.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 13.81 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.68 |
| solidity v1 | -1.43 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.07 | 1.70 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 2.12 |