← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ç. Altay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Hatayspor win | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.89 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Bengali-Fodé Koita · Sivasspor |
| 30' | ⚽ | Bilal Boutobba · Hatayspor |
| 55' | ⚽ | Recep Burak Yılmaz · Hatayspor |
| 58' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 65' | ⚽ | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Hatayspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Recep Burak Yılmaz · Hatayspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 78' | 🟥 | Francisco Calvo · Hatayspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Murat Paluli · Sivasspor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Chandrel Massanga · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 22 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 74.00 |
| 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1365.65 | 1482.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.62 | -7.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 18.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.81 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.58 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | -0.85 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.97 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.90 |