← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Kardeşler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Kayserispor win | 30% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Badou Ndiaye · Gaziantep |
| 34' | 🟨 | Mehdi Bourabia · Kayserispor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Boateng · Gaziantep |
| 52' | ⚽ | David Okereke · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Gaziantep Stadyumu |
| coach days | 379.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 0.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1537.40 | 1488.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.79 | 42.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 42.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 4.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.53 |
| solidity v1 | -0.62 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 31.06 | — |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.28 |