← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 9, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Pakkan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 43% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Sivasspor win | 28% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Sivasspor +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Ziya Erdal · Sivasspor |
| 1' | 🟨 | Koray Günter · Goztep |
| 33' | ⚽ | Kuryu Matsuki · Goztep |
| 40' | 🟨 | Lasse Nielsen · Goztep |
| 41' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Goztep |
| 43' | 🟨 | Charis Charisis · Sivasspor |
| 43' | 🟨 | Koray Günter · Goztep |
| 43' | 🟥 | Koray Günter · Goztep |
| 48' | ⚽ | Charis Charisis · Sivasspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | İsmail Köybaşı · Goztep |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ali Şaşal Vural · Sivasspor |
| 66' | ⚽ | Turac Böke · Sivasspor |
| 77' | ⚽ | Turac Böke · Sivasspor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Uroš Radaković · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 8.00 | 494.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1469.34 | 1493.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.92 | -21.84 |
| eye test v1 | -1.20 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.79 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| league points | 28.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 5.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.27 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.85 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 1.85 |