← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Akarsu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.30 |
| Hatayspor win | 13% | 8.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor −1.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Hatayspor −1.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under | 35% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 26' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Hatayspor |
| 31' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor |
| 33' | 🟨 | Francisco Calvo · Hatayspor |
| 42' | ⚽ | Oleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor |
| 49' | 🟨 | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 65' | ⚽ | Chandrel Massanga · Hatayspor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Okay Yokuşlu · Trabzonspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Recep Burak Yılmaz · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rui Pedro · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| coach days |
| 7.00 |
| 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1589.26 | 1348.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.42 | -8.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 39.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 5.19 | 15.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | -0.36 |
| solidity v1 | -0.32 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.20 | — |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 2.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.04 |