← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Mon, Mar 3, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: O. Çakır
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Samsunspor win | 20% | 5.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Samsunspor −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | İsmail Köybaşı · Goztep |
| 29' | 🟨 | Lasse Nielsen · Goztep |
| 44' | 🟨 | Carlo Holse · Samsunspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Novatus Miroshi · Goztep |
| 51' | ⚽ | Juan Santos da Silva · Goztep |
| 67' | ⚽ | Kingsley Schindler · Samsunspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Kubilay Kanatsızkuş · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Doğan Erdoğan · Goztep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rick Van Drongelen · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu |
| coach days | 488.00 | 245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1492.71 | 1582.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.57 | -36.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 41.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 8.29 | 9.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.89 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.35 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 1.09 |