← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Türkmen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 77% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.00 |
| Antalyaspor win | 8% | 12.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Antalyaspor −1.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Mert Müldür · Fenerbahce |
| 26' | ⚽ | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 30' | ⚽ | Youssef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 3 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 274.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1836.04 | 1490.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.31 | 21.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| league points | 74.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.02 | 8.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.39 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.63 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 31.15 | — |
| state index | 0.99 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.75 |