← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.67 |
| Kayserispor win | 17% | 5.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas −1 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Kayserispor −1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Carlos Mané · Kayserispor |
| 27' | 🟨 | Mehdi Bourabia · Kayserispor |
| 45' | ⚽ | João Mário · Besiktas |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Semih Kılıçsoy · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Tüpraş Stadyumu |
| coach days | 59.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1610.56 | 1461.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.95 | 16.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 42.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -0.32 |
| solidity v1 | 0.87 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 29.86 | — |
| state index | 0.93 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.86 |