← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 23, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: C. Aydın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Kayserispor win | 32% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Goztep +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Duckens Nazon · Kayserispor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ahmed Ildız · Goztep |
| 75' | 🟨 | Lasse Nielsen · Goztep |
| 82' | 🟨 | Kartal Kayra Yılmaz · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu |
| coach days | 53.00 | 480.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1451.40 | 1502.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.45 | 34.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.59 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| league points | 26.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 12.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.07 |
| solidity v1 | -0.11 | 1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -1.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 2.35 |