← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bodrumspor win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Hatayspor win | 17% | 6.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −1 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Bodrumspor −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | George Pușcaș · Bodrumspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Selimcan Temel · Hatayspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ali Aytemur · Bodrumspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Funsho Bamgboye · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bodrumspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Grey Beton Bodrum Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 143.00 |
| 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1470.54 | 1353.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.85 | -7.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| league points | 27.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 6.17 | 5.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 0.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -0.51 |
| solidity v1 | 1.15 | -2.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 2.49 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.06 |