← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Tonusluoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Kayserispor win | 19% | 5.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eyupspor −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Kayserispor −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Robin Yalçın · Eyupspor |
| 12' | 🟨 | Gökhan Sazdağı · Kayserispor |
| 30' | 🟨 | Ramazan Civelek · Kayserispor |
| 46' | 🟨 | Carlos Mané · Kayserispor |
| 56' | 🟨 | Emre Mor · Eyupspor |
| 56' | ⚽ | Emre Mor · Eyupspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Yalçın Kayan · Eyupspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joseph Attamah · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eyupspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu |
| coach days | 687.00 | 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1588.90 | 1446.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.89 | -3.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.90 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| league points | 44.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 5.83 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.02 | -0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.92 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.07 | 1.52 |