← Süper Lig 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 16, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Kayatepe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Hatayspor win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Hatayspor |
| 31' | 🟨 | Chandrel Massanga · Hatayspor |
| 33' | 🟨 | Francisco Calvo · Hatayspor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Loide Augusto · Alanyaspor |
| 56' | ⚽ | Funsho Bamgboye · Hatayspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nuno Lima · Alanyaspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Joelson Fernandes · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Visar Bekaj · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Loide Augusto · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟥 | Loide Augusto · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| coach days |
| 46.00 |
| 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1339.84 | 1552.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.98 | 9.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.93 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| league points | 12.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 8.73 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.41 |
| solidity v1 | -2.43 | -1.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -1.60 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.53 | 2.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.14 |